Comment: Is Linux breakout really in China?

xiaoxiao2021-03-06  64

Recently, discussions about Linux China are also getting booming. The famous media such as the Economic Observer also focuses on China's Linux industry with the most enthusiastic text. "Due to China's emphasis on Linux software promotion, in recent years, China is becoming the most important market in Linux, China, and Linux's breakthrough in China. The accepted reporters think.

Most people attached to and this point. The official establishment of the Ministry of Information Technology, the formal establishment of the East Asia Three Kingdoms, Oracle, AMD, HP, etc. Rapid development track.

It has always been, in the face of Microsoft's hegemonic thinking and UNIX's strong attack, the Linux camp can only be difficult to survive in clauses. However, the transit is moved, and the Linux camp gradually reversed. At least, the phenomenon of the surface is indeed like this. However, considering the monopoly status of Microsoft in the Chinese market, PC manufacturers are swaying on Linux stand, and many of Linux itself, the future development of Linux China still needs to be careful.

Recently rumored 6 computer vendors in China, pre-installed the thin Linux operating system in PC products. This system does not emphasize the computer's PC characteristics, but more than the family theater, music and other home appliance feature, which only retains two traditional functions of browser and system management tools. Microsoft's Windows will degenerate the normal function of the computer. To this end, some views of the industry think that China PC manufacturers began 'collective betrayal' Microsoft, and even more people will see this as the prelude of China Linux challenge Microsoft Windows.

In fact, unfair competitive environments, letting domestic software manufacturers have suffering. In fact, it is not only software manufacturers, but also software vendors, IT hardware vendors are subject to Microsoft's price in OEM. In front of the PC manufacturers in the profits, the operating system OEM prices have differently and down a few yuan, which determines their competitive advantage in the market.

The PC manufacturers in China now are survived in the market, and their maximum source of profits is to earn a national value-added tax. In order to get OEM's preferential prices in China, domestic first-line manufacturers, who dare to make OEM to make fun in front of Microsoft, and will definitely affect the market share of the next year.

Self-developed Linux desktop operating system Lenovo, the implementation of its own happiness Linux strategy is also a step. It should be said that Lenovo has made this strategic choice, and the purpose is by no means a positive competition with Microsoft in terms of desktop system. Lenovo developed happiness Linux, just a market deterrent in its strategy. Its purpose is to get a preferential market price in a year and OEM negotiation, rather than really want to operate Linux.

It is a thorough point that PC vendors pursue profits to maximize the profits, and they can support Linux for profits, and they can also returning to Microsoft's arms for profits. Therefore, Linux is now available, only support on the surface of the PC manufacturer, once Microsoft makes the killing, or the strategy is a strategy, it is conceivable to know the situation of Linux.

Going back and then look at the Chinese Linux market itself, although China Linux's large environment is mature, but its own short board is also fatal. Although the previous digital government procurement, China Linux manufacturers headed by the Red Flag won a big list, but there is no government order source, and most of Most Linux manufacturers with Microsoft will not operate.

Take a unique blue dot software as an example, it is the first professional software company engaged in Linux-based technology. It is a majority of people who are ideal for Linux. The company has fallen into a security company for selling firewalls. Even with the Chinese red flag with official background, this road is not good. It has always, Zhongke Hongqi relies on government orders to survive, which makes Linux advitions. However, because of its limitations and influence on the industry, Zhongke Hongqi's current main earnings point is only concentrated in the field of servers and embedded operating systems. In November 2003, the establishment of the bidding software in Shanghai broke the iron rice bowl of Zhongke Red Flag. Obviously, the winning bidder from the SME Group will receive majority orders from the government. At most people, the number of government orders is limited, only one or two manufacturers, although the Zhongke Hongqi has experience, but its background does not have a bidding software. As for other official background, it is even more weak than the Linux manufacturer that is more thin than the Chinese red flag.

According to statistics, China Linux market share has risen from 2.8% in 2002 to 3.2%, mainly including two major areas of e-government and various digital equipment, in other fields, Linux still can't break through . Linux is too low in China's market share. For the future of a software system, such market share is almost a drop in the bucket. If there is no more market share support, if there is no more business income and profits, China Linux industry must truly realize the soaking.

It should be said that from the end of 2000, the government procurement began to purchase Linux desktops to now, Linux's immature appearance has taken great shift. According to experts, the basic work of e-government now has already been completed on the Linux desktop. LINUX and Office, browser, etc., key applications have been able to achieve accurate compatibility with Windows, and can make a smooth transition. However, it is worth noting that even if Linux is shifted in a good direction with a very fast speed, there is still many problems in the support of application software and peripherals compared to Windows.

Software compatibility issues are issues that are the first in Linux applications. Even the most important Office software is compatible in content format, the difference is quite large, while other application software issues is more serious. Ni Guangnan, the Chinese Academy of Engineering, believes that a major obstacle to Linux desktop promotion is compatible with peripherals, when various expansion cards, printers, scanners are not compatible with Linux, Linux desktop wants to get a large area promotion.

The more applications running on Linux, the more complex Linux, the more commercial patented software installed, then Linux's cost advantage will be reduced. Especially for important commercial databases and enterprise applications, UNIX's stability is sufficient to make people feel relieved, and whether Linux can maintain similar cost advantages in high-end environments. Even in some cases, Linux in high-end environments may even be higher than UNIX costs.

How to move the application software on the Linux platform, how to make peripherals compatible with Linux, apparent that this problem is impossible to solve the power of single-relying on Linux vendors. But if you want to take the initiative to take the initiative, Linux must have enough markets. But now LINUX does not have too many words in the case of Microsoft in the world.

The domestic Linux manufacturer's headache is that the government only emphasizes the policy discount on the minority manufacturers, and invested in R & D fund support, but it is not possible to popularize Linux outside the government and education, that is, unable to establish a user base that does not have demand Linux. The mandatory standard may make the manufacturer to unify, but it is still unable to find the reason for Linux manufacturers to live. In fact, if it is not a government procurement, Linux will be very bleak in China. However, how can government procurement represent how big? With China's increase in pirated hits, a more huge genuine market will slowly float the water, and the LINUX desktop version will have geometric level expansion.

However, can it transfer potential markets into actual markets, which is the promotion of China Linux manufacturers and government parties, which not only requires Linux's own efforts, but also requires progress in the overall environment of Linux. It should be said that Linux's strategic transformation is becoming the national policy of China's development software industry, supporting Linux means a greater opportunity to China. However, even if there is any conditional support of the Chinese government, it is not possible to conclude that China is the most important market in Linux global, and the breakthrough in Linux is in China.

Some ridiculous is that Microsoft in September 20 will provide office software to 30 countries in more than 30 countries, which will have a media to praise the text. It turns out that Microsoft empire has moved to collapse.

In fact, Microsoft's temporary compromise is not equivalent to the progress of the Linux industry. This is like the Sino-South Sea cigarette sales, which is a good news for Hong Tashan, but this does not indicate that Hongta Mount will be selling. Even without considering the disappersion of Microsoft and Linux manufacturers, this sentence has already made a significant logic error.

For Linux China, opportunities are there, and now it is in the crossroads, and it is a Kangzhuang Avenue. But before you have enough high enough, the media began to advocate Linux China's beautiful prospects so that it is too good. For Linux, for the Linux market, or for China's Linux market, we need to be objective and rational thinking, rather than intoxicating the text surface!

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