Zhang Wuchang - The presence of "佃 佃 Theory" (2)

zhaozj2021-02-16  72

Experience in the document

In mid-December 66th, the second manuscript of the first chapter was later - it was the second chapter of the book and part of the fourth chapter - consciously improved (in fact, I wrote five or six times) . After the teacher reads, only simply said: "I will say that you will know how to write a clear article for you. I am happy, because the mouth of An Shi is very high. He has always believed that the most articles are unbearable, and repeatedly emphasizes the idea of ​​clearing, and does not allow any discharging of water. Anyone knows that the article must be clear, but it is not very common. I learned from Ashi, I have to make a clear mind, then just write.

I have seen the first chapter of the time has independence, and I'm got to be, I will be able to send it to two places, I hope to express it. One is a highly unparalleled Chicago University Press, which means that only the beginning of the papers, the rest have not made a pen. Economics editing of this publishing house will soon reply, saying that as long as there is a similar level, they are willing to publish it immediately. Only one chapter, don't have to review, and the Publishing House is so famous, this response is that friends say that it is also a wonderful.

Second, it is sent to the famous "American Economic Review. After two months, the editor's reply is that the reviewer believes that the article is good, but it is well known that the percentage of the sputum is customized by customs, habits, so I To modify, the customary classification rate is dependent. I think, if I change it, the whole article is abolished. How can I do this, how can I don't have a university-grade level? It is the only experience in the academic career. The experience is not immediately taken out. Because of this experience, I will follow the "Name" journal and the unknown journal, I don't care. But? A piece of article, write After buried three feet in the ground, some people will have discovered.

Many masters are helping

It was also in December 66. I received the invitation letter sent by Morium (E.DOMAR, 1914-1998) in the long buffer. I want to go to his family at the New Year. He is a professor of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, which is very famous in economic development. At that time, he visited Lankake Company, California University, California. How can he know that I know this person? During the meeting, I saw a professor or Ranki's person, and the students only had me. I drink alone in the hall, I will go to the middle, I heard the Malaysian saying: "Who is Shi Ten, please stand up." After I responded, he took me to the kitchen and said, "Herkela gave me a chapter of your paper. I thought you didn't belong to the long embankment. Do you want to go to Mao?"

After a few days, I received a trust, saying that the Massachusetts spare space, but he has sent me that chapter to the University of Chicago. G. Johnson; He also said that the bronze bonus a year is a year, it is going to be a year, and promote me. Johnson is a contemporary agricultural economy master, published another set of farmers theory. I am not polite in the paper, saying that his theory is full, so it is inconvenient to apply.

In March 1967, after the application, Herkela sent me a call, I would like to apply right away. The Herbal is difficult but I sent a simple letter. Two days later, he received the telegram of the Harberg6r of the Chordary Economic Department, saying that I won the award, I want to go to Chi to be a year. Without paying taxes, don't have to teach, there is no duty, and the annual salary 8000 is extremely considerable (the annual salary of the long "teaching", paying only 5000 after taxation. Harberger can not know, as long as Zhi Dalone is hosted, I will go too.

Later G. Tolley tells me that Johnson looked at this chapter, just considering other applicants, just waiting for my application letter. But in that chapter, I worsened the criticism of Johnson. This is the case, so I am very respectful. 33 years have passed, such a chest, I can't learn! Dr. is not born behind

The postdoctoral prize of the 1960s was very different from the 1970s. Find work in the 1960s, it is difficult to find a bonus who does not have to work. The bonus of Chi Da, who had Before I had Aro (K.Arrow 1921-), Mentel (R.Mundell 1932-), is more special. The problem is that my paper only wrote a short half, and the award instruction is "behind the doctor", what should I do?

I hang up a phone call to Chico to give Harberger, saying that the paper is far away, can you change from one year. He responded: "All the faculty members of Chi Da are Mr. or lady, and there is no title of you." Since "Doctor" is not enough, I have no reason to postpon. However, the thesis is not completed, but immediately immediately, it is written after six weeks.

This "current" includes the most difficulties of papers and think that it is the most satisfactory part - Chapter 8 of the book. The content of this chapter is foregoing, 66 summer, I and a helper add a reduction in harvest from early evening, and I have long thought clearly. She holds for nearly half a year, every day, it is very happy.

Verification theory difficulties

The difficulty of this verification is like this. Under Taiwan's land reform, the landlord is divided into 37.5%. According to my farmers theory, the marginal output of the farmers will decline, and the marginal output of the land will rise. In this way, the marginal output value of the farmers will be lower than the marginal output value of the self-cultivation, and the marginal output value of the farmers will be higher than the marginal output value of the self-cultivated land - the two violations of marginal output value. The problem is that marginal production can only appear in the controlled experiment, can't be seen in the real world. All the data I found is the average production of the land rather than marginal production.

Difficult focus is obvious. I want to confirm the transformation of marginal yield with the transformation of land average production, and the labor and land marginal yield must be separated. The detailed information on my hand is the average output of various crops and their transformation. It is necessary to confirm the averaging changes in these can prove that there are no insensitive marginal transitions.

After this chapter is written, I will send it to A and Hi. After a few days, I will increase the opinion. First see Herce, he certainly knows my intention, say, "Don't ask me, just Alqian is here, the chapter you verified to the sky. You go see him." I am so happy Going to AD, he actually said: "How do I know that the data in your paper is not what you are manufactured?"

I rushed back to the long embankment. After a day, I went to the early morning to increase the teacher, and the original version seized was originally seen. He actually said: "How do you know that these information is not deliberately manufactured by the Taiwan government?" I force it to contact Taiwan's relevant agencies.

When I got the way to collect the information, I went back to Ana. He stood up and looked out to the window. What kind of thing is. "

There is no doubt that Chapter 8 of the Verification Theory is most weight. When I gave H in 1968 When Johnson (H. Johnson 1923-1977), he read the beginning of the average yield of land to demonstrate the marginal yield of labor and land, and the next comment: "This is impossible." But at the end of chapter, he will review this again: "This chapter is great!"

However, the "San Nong Theory" has been introduced for 30 years, although it is cited to 500 times, but in addition to friends, no one mentioned that Chapter 8. This may be because the general scholars are not interested in the verification methods, or because they have a local phenomenon, such as Taiwan or China's agriculture, it will be free, and things are not hard. Of course, from the perspective of scientific research, what areas are equally important. Statistical two have lost

Another point is worth mentioning. At that time, the number of economics developed in statistics (ECONOMETRICS) was launched. I was a door outside, but I had a classmate who had a well-known classmate read my verification chapter, saying that he is a bit doubtful as it is. Later, in Chirigue H. Johnson is also said to read this chapter. 9 years later, I learned a lot in quantitative analysis and statistics because of petroleum research, or at least knows about these learning. Here you may wish to talk about problems with the people of the post-school.

There are two important purposes in statistics, but there is also a weakness. One of the important purposes is the law or conclusions of the numerals that are not easy to see, and statistics can be explicitly expressed. Of course, some people's naked eyes are very powerful: the laws of others can't see, these people can be at a glance. For those who are flat, statistical use is important.

The second statistical importance is that this learning can be systematically handled systematically. Of course, in today, the inconsistent statistical low-handed, dance, but seek performance skills, make simple verification to make a mess.

The main weaknesses of statistics are too many, and the conclusion is not very reliable! In fact, in general, the skills of statistics are more complicated, the more reliability, the lower the reliability. Master statistics will always be unique.

The truth is quite obvious. Verify theory, statistical approach is sometimes available, but you must first think about the meaning of overthrowing theory, you must think of very detailed. The difficulties of today's future show is that they think that now, since the statistics skills are extraordinary, they don't have to think about anything. They then conclusions with the digital law calculated by the computer. This is the fact that the facts are fact - in accordance with Marshall (A.Marshall 1842-1924) is a reckless and shameless.

The verification meaning of theory is to be in advance. There is a help of statistical skills, and the brocade is added.

Go out in the country

I am from the University of Chicago in September 1967. At that time, the strength of the economics of Zi Dafa was strong, and there was no precedent (I am afraid it is the same. From the long buffet to Zhido, I have a sense of "going out of the city".

The whole summer in front of the front, I don't do anything, and the half-page book does not turn. Chi Da only gives me a year contract, I have to use it well, learn. I have a lot of rest, raise the savings. is not that right? A person in the tea student, I was invited to Shaolin Temple to go deep, if I got a hand with the guys there, what should I do? I can't think of it. Later, in Chi Da and the abbot masters many times, I can play a flat hand.

I am going to school, the Lishi Daum is increased, and it is not named. But there are two aspects very special. First, in accordance with the review of Herkela today, he did not have seen that there were so many good students gathered when it was increasing. Herce has worked in Harvard and Chiri, which should have components. Because there are seven, eight students are all selected, and everyone will be found for several years, and the skills will not be worse. In fact, when I arrived with the "Star" student in Chiri, I found that they did not increase their students in the theoretical skills. Its second is that there are three teachers when we are increasing, and it has become a world famous after I am leaving. Alchi An is a, Herkela is a, Brunner (K. Brunner 1916-1988) is also one. Purely from the most important price theory in economics, it is not easy to find a better teaching than the two people in the 20th century.

Although the three teachers mentioned in the year, although the famous arrogance, it is another matter to the masters of Chi Da. After I went to Chichao, they knew that I was a disciple of A, Her, and I saw it.

Guidance of the seniors of "佃 佃"

I am living in "international dormitory" in Chiri, it is very simple, but since I get up early, how can I live? After home, I went to the Economics Editor of Zeafang Publishing House, saying that the paper has written it. He is very happy and will be published immediately. I followed to find D. G. Johnson, the predecessors who have published the theory of farmers, asked if he should let the papers immediately leave the book, still spend more time to modify. He said that he wants to pay attention to it.

After a day, d. G. Johnson is looking for me, saying: "I thought. Generally speaking, the subject, there is a status as a sesame publishing house, you should go to other themes. But your papers may It is a classic. I believe me, there are not many people with this kind of opportunity, that is, you may not have this opportunity. So I think you should spend more time to improve. "I promised."

In fact, in the first year of Chicap, I didn't "improve" the paper, but extended about a quarter. Although Chicodi is small, the library is just that I have only seen it, there should be, and the book can't find, they have a way to borrow from other libraries within a few days. With new information, supplement the paper is easy. From the main library of Chicap, I flipped through the "old case" and traced the thinking of economic scholars in the two hundred years of thinking. This work constitutes the most of the chapter 3 of the subsequent book on the history of economic thinking.

Professor Bark

More important is the inspiration to the Asian Library of Ziwa. Perhaps it is coming to, there is a story about Chinese bodies there, and there is a story.

About 1925, a Agriculture Professor, a University of Cornell - J.L.Buck - took his wife to China and stayed in Nanjing University for approximately 10 years. During this period, his research on Chinese agriculture has become a large number of classics, making the Cornell University's Agricultural Economy Department (Although Buck Profeen, Although the famous arrogance is big, you can't write a Chinese story. Mrs. Pearl Buck, Pearl of Nobel Literature Awards.

Professor Buck has a few Chinese agricultural books published in English, and I am familiar with the writing of writing. However, in the University of Nanjing, he is a research gold in the United States. It is more engaged in a big one - almost the entire Nanjing University Agricultural Department and students participate in this investigation. It can be said: Agricultural survey headed by Professor Bark, including the wide, and the depth of discussion, unprecedented history.

I don't know before getting a big big, it is a number of handful researchers from Professor Bark, and is published in Chinese. In the Asian library of Chicap, these discuss that I have the opportunity to read and benefit. Hold the version

In an increase in the paper, I explored why this issue of the Agricultural Contract. However, in the old Chinese archives of Nanjing University of Ziwai, there are various versions of various farmland rental contracts! In the evening of Sesaka, I was in a daze in the International Dormitory of Chichao. Later, the name of the heart and one stroke, and wrote "transaction costs, the choice of risk avoidance and the choice of the cho cho,". This is the fourth chapter in the subsequent book.

This fourth chapter can be independent. In the fall of 1968, I invited the female secretary to send this chapter to the Ma Da's colleague. After two days, Strand (G.j.stigler 1911-1991) gave me the phone, I want to go to him to discuss my article about the contract choice with "cruel" well-known studio (Workshop).

It is the "discussion" in the classroom of Zirifun's Legal College. The audience sits high, the lecturers are sitting at the lowest position, I am going to see the scene, I will not help but feel cold. The famous family present. I just said a few words of opening, and Stela will be guilty of Daxing. Alqian (he visited Chicon) for me (he visited Chicon), H. DEMSETZ, there are other things. Two hours they were quarreled. I didn't say anything else. Cos sat in front of me, only smiling, to show Jia Xi.

Today, some people say that I am very controversial. The 66-year-page version of the paper, in increasing the governor for 5 hours; this time in the "Studio" in Chirigue, they have noisy for two hours. I have no chance to say myself, "Controversy" How can I pull me?

After a day of noon, in Chi Da's faculty restaurant, Dileco (A.Director 1902-) slowly walked to me from the distance, said: "Your article yesterday is my best to read the most Important. "Take it with turns. He may not know, I want to "the choice of contract", because he heard his Tie-in Sales, his heart is long, and he is inspired.

Not long ago, in the Harvard Xie Shi's Z. Griliches were also in Chicap, read the article "Contract", saying: "You may change the economics in the future." He came to Hong Kong in the future, and his old things played, said: "68 I said that your article about the contract will change something, it's right, because today's agency theory is developed there. Unfortunately most people don't know. "

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