A worried financial doctoral student for China's real estate industry
Today, China's real estate industry, like now China's stock market, is there any people who dare to believe? I don't see: The TV is full of shares, the stock commentary of the stars, and the result is what? People who are shares should all know their endings: the stocks in the hands are shrinking two-thirds or even more! They are to make the stock market, such as the same day, let the retailings that are unidentified in the high level, it is difficult to shoot in the high-level house, when the retail is taken, the stock has fallen, the worst a loss is these outliners! How many people in them jumped off the building! The insider, you should know a little one or two! Today China's real estate industry is not a turning version of China's stock market? I have to ask the so-called president Ren Zhiqiang: What is the salary of China's ordinary people? It is also two or 30,000 yuan, and I will go to school (I think Beijing children will not be a small number), the human gift (Beijing is a traditional etiquette), hydropower gas traffic, The class of clothes (our Beijing people are the most faceful), have a sick death (Beijing hospital people dare to get into progress? Can not enter the disease, can you still lose money?) There are other daily life expenses, Ren Zhiqiang President: How much can you still leave Beijing people? The rest of this money can support a housing price of 7,000 yuan a square meter, and have a decoration fee of more than 25 million yuan?
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According to the statistical disclosure of authoritative department: according to China's current House prices, the housing prices supported by the US current GTP! This is really a big humor and ironic! A per capita gross national product is the same as the house price supported by our US, which is the same! I really don't know if this is the sorrow of our China's real estate industry or our glory! People who often read the newspaper should know such a fact: Today, Hong Kong's house prices have fallen by 65% in Hong Kong at the 1996 financial turmoil! Ren president, can you answer this? To put it bluntly, you are not just in the southern province, especially Wenzhou's speculatory group, like the Chinese house price like a stir-fry stock. Tour !!! Don't buy more expensive now? " Let those people who have just solved the warmth of the warmth of this idea, put the rest of the money in their pockets, and pick you up with a high price? On a day not far from now, this false prosperity foam is blown by ruthlessness. Ren Zhiqiang, your big diamond national policy space, big hair is not righteous, earned, and boy The belt moved overseas, became a decent American, bid or British Chinese, but can these poor people? You will not have a look at them! Even say: these fools! Stupid!
You said this: "We really don't know what is the 'bubble' in China's real estate market. We only know that Chinese people's housing conditions are still very poor. I only know that the traditional concept of Chinese people is rich and now buy a house. Covering room, property, home, you can use the food, but you can't cover the wind. When the Chinese began to riches, the first time to solve in the life can be placed behind the brain, every day, eat the year When I dinner, I am going to solve the roof to sleep in bed. "Ye, yeah, you are right, this is a beggar, you will also understand, but also understand the truth! What is the problem is how much your house is worth? You are caught this urgent psychology that the people solves the housing after the food is solved. Excered the people in the people! What is your profit from this square meter in this square meter? Who doesn't know that China's real estate industry is a profiteering industry! From the Chinese stock market, only few real estate listed companies have come to the present, all rich listed companies are doing a real estate! Your real estate industry teamed up to make this so-called report, don't you want to prove your authority? And this so-called "authoritative report" is not to cover the fake prosperity of the real estate industry to serve your Group's interests? Don't you know what is the most authoritative survey report? Why don't you dare to let the foreign well-known financial institutions in China come to investigate? It should be said: their report is the most authoritative "report"! Your own practice and the Chinese stock market is the same! Try: Why is the Chinese auto industry not speculating? Because the people can see the factors that are real car price cuts, it is because of the uncertainty of the price of real estate industry, only how many kind people are good! As our country's macroeconomic perseverance is increasing, those who have harm the national interests under the so-called legal outer weapons, impairing the interests of the people, and trying to use their so-called "authoritative report" to misleading people and groups, In the face of justice, one day, it will be like real estate bubbles, broken bones! People who are kind and just, for the prosperity of the national economy, for the success of the national macroeconomic regulation, for the prosperity of the national real estate industry, in order to live with the spacious and bright, there is a value value, please bring your hand, come together Unveiled their conspiracy!
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Some people don't know the truth
I stayed in Beijing for many years, and I accidentally met some real estate friends, and I got some truth that everyone didn't know. If I don't publish, I will be uncomfortable.
1. The state has tightened the basic investment credit. On July 1, 2004, the bank did not give a loan in addition to economic applications, and there was no penny. Many developers' fund chains have encountered problems. They can't live without tightening the house. They have already reached the key period of life and death (they are in an emergency sale, so consumers want to stand.);
2. Most of the commercial housing in Beijing is now actually selling. The current situation is relatively bad, but there is no media report (developers and media are all kinds of interest), and many houses that are sold out have not been sold. Its purpose is to manufacture tension in consumers. People's consumption psychology is, the more I can't buy it, I like to catch up; 3 in Beijing, all commercial housing project sales number is only 1/3, 1/3 The house is sold, there is no house, in fact, there is still 2/3 without selling, the sales strategy is like this ----- the fantasy of the real estate selling, consumers will be eager to buy, see There is still something left, they put a little bit, so those that are sold out will always have someone else, or some other reasons are selling, but the price is much higher, in fact they still Didn't sell it (every property is, let you believe it).
4 All costs of ordinary residential projects are not 2500 yuan / square meter, and foreign real estate profit margins are less than 10 /%, you look at Beijing's housing prices, all catch up with the United States. Calculate it, know if there is any bubble, now buy a house is like the effect of buying color TV in 1988. 4,000 yuan to buy a 18-inch, my family is buying it at that time, I have repented it in the intestines.
5, the high-level view of the real estate industry is the most up to 2006 will fall, they still want to make a year of money again, and it feels enough inside the real estate industry. Maybe 2005 will collapse. Officials in the Ministry of Construction will say steadily, and the government leaders also hope that the stock market has a stable rise. After many years, everyone knows it.
6 The actual vacancy rate of Beijing civil house is now 30 /%, and the relationship between supply and demand is. [Transfer from the blood http://www.tiexue.net]
7 The developer's hand is that the public auction has caused the land pricing to rise. It is purely that he is eight, which is to create tight air in the society, let people buy real estate and raise housing prices. In fact, developers can ly, media newspapers can ly, critics can ly, government-related departments can also lie, all of the lies have only one purpose is to make foams, and the vested interest group can be married from it. But the market will not be deceived, the bubble will always rupture, there will always be defocated one day. If the bubble will always be shattered, I can affirm it. Friends in my real estate industry are not in a hurry to buy a house, saying to me to stand up. I used to stir-fry, I am not interested. It feels the same principle in the stock market and the real estate market. The more buyers, the greater the amount of funds, the higher the price will rise. In the real estate market, the developer is actually a resilience to the cloud. The media newspaper is a shared member of the market. The media newspaper is a shared assessment for their shake flag (you see now who also believe in the stock market), 1999 5.19 stock market blowout, I remember Most Assets have vowed to predict 5,000 points after a few years, it will be 1000 points after a few years. After a few years, the future is good, and the stock market will not fall. Are you not a joke now?
Now China's real estate market has passed the long-term bull market, may have arrived at the highest point, maybe it will be the highest point. If you don't want to be stacked by a high level, don't worry about buying a house, if everyone is no longer buying a house, anxious to be a developer. The buying power is small, the price will fall naturally, just like the current car market.
Some people say that the land is non-renewable resources, and housing prices will not fall. However, Japan is more people more people than China, and their real estate has been continuously downturn in 12 years, and real estate prices have fallen for 12 years! ! Because their house covers enough, for greater than seeking. In Beijing, the houses in these big cities in Shanghai are also more enough, and the building will be touched! . Put this article in the forum you know, let more people know the insider of China's largest city real estate bubble, tell you all the friends who want to buy a house to take a pocket! !
Don't buy a house now. Everyone is unhearthed, and the enemy can't help it.
