[Abstract] 2005 US Industrial Prospect Lookout

xiaoxiao2021-03-06  41

Excerpt from: "Business Week Chinese version"

2005

Year

2

The keywords affecting the US economy in 2005:

Exchange Rate: The depreciation of the US dollar is a big topic in 2005. In 2005, the US dollar is very likely to continue the downward situation. If the US dollar depreciates, it will make the US export commodities more competitive, while reducing the pressure of inexpensive import goods facing domestic manufacturers. Interest rate: The depreciation of the US dollar will prompt foreign investors to request higher returns to make up for the loss caused by exchange rate changes, which will cause inflation and interest rates to continue to rise. This will enable financial industry and commercial and residential construction industries into trouble. Oil price: The current high oil price has weakened the purchasing power of consumers and increased the cost of the company. However, the investment in the mastery has shown that they are optimistic about this year's oil prices will fall slightly. The fall of oil prices should make this year's overall inflation rate decrease. The overall situation information technology industry in the information technology industry will continue in accordance with its rhythm in 2005. The information technology industry has long been one of the fastest growing industries, and is also the largest part of the economy, but recently, these two characteristics have weakened slightly. Software, telecommunications, chip and consumer electronics industry's growth rate is expected to be lower than its long-term trend. Only the hardware industry is expected to grow rapidly. In the light, volatility is weakening. Consumers are gradually replacing enterprises and become the main army of information technology products. As consumer spending tends to regularize year by year, the sales pattern should tend to stabilize. IT procurement situation According to the data provided by International Data Company (IDC), after 2004, after 2004, the global personal computer, server, memory, network, and peripheral sales should be able to achieve 6.2% in 2005. Growth, reaching $ 386.6 billion.

Server Market: Overall, the entire server sector will increase by 4.2% to $ 53.7 billion. However, according to Gutna's forecast, the sales of Linux servers will be strongly jumped 26%, while the server running Windows will increase by 8.1%. At the same time, the sales of large-scale machines and servers that are mainly produced by HP, IBM and Sun, will continue to decrease, some of why they are expensive due to their prices. Gartner predicts that in 2005, the Windows server will win 36% of the market share, while UNIX servers are 33%, Linux bit 11%. PC: International Data Company expects personal computer spending in 2005 to only increase by 4.1% to $ 168.9 billion. Personal computer industry is still not lane. After years of hard work, Microsoft's media center software has shown signs of being accepted. The system has sold more than 1 million sets, users can sit on the sofa, control personal computers and entire entertainment systems with remote control. More preferably, according to the data provided by the NPD Group, the median price average of $ 1,300 is 2 times the price of ordinary desktop computer.

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