Dialogue on population and family planning --- Can resource constraints and employment problems become a reasons for family planning? [He Yayu] on 2005-01-12 19:57:31
A: China implements family planning, mainly to solve two problems of resource constraints and employment. Let me talk about resources: The earth is only so big, China is only so big, natural resources are limited, and a person has to die from birth, and every moment will consume natural resources every moment, so it is necessary to implement family planning control population growth, Save natural resources. B. Talk about the resource constraint, I remembered a true story: 1980, US economist Julian Simon's "growth of the Limit" and Carter President of the Roman Club "Earth 2000 Earth "The pessimistic estimate of resource scarce prospects holds a strong objection. On the issue of human future, Simon is an optimist, believes that the technical progress and price mechanism of human society will solve the various problems in human development, and the future is bright. Elriqi, the biologist of Stanford University, USA, is a pessimistical, believes that due to the demographic explosion, food shortage, non-renewable resources, environmental pollution, etc., is bleak. A: So, who persresses the other party? B: whoever persuades who, 1980, they decided to gamble. The problems involved in the controversy, what is gambling? Finally, I decided whether the gambledability resource will consume. Non-regenerative resources such as oil, coal and all kinds of ore storage is limited, the more we use, the more, one day, these resources will be used. Pessimistic Elridge's view is that these resources will be used later, and their future prices will rise substantially. The view of optimist Simon is that these resources will not be exhausted, and the price will not be greatly increased, and will fall. Two men have selected five metals: chromium, copper, nickel, tin, tungsten, the price of 1980 is based on the price of 10 years, and the price is rising or falling. By 1990, these five metal did not have an exception, and the pessimist Yerridge lost, and the rules will be paid for money beforehand. A: This is blamed! These five metals are non-renewable resources, and when they are getting shorter, their prices should be rising. But why is it true: these five kinds of metals are getting less and less, and the price has dropped? B: This is because any resources in the world have their own alternatives, and no renewable resources also have alternatives. When the price of these five metals rises, people have stimulated people to develop their alternatives. For example, copper and tin past are mainly manufactured in various types of utensils. When the price of copper and tin rises, it is replaced by a large number of plastic products; the same, metal prices of copper and other manufacturing wires also stimulate people's development alternative Copper light guide fiber. In this way, the demand of these metals is greatly reduced, and the price will naturally drop. As the saying goes: "The resources are limited, creative unlimited". A: Since "Creative Unlimited", then I ask you: If the development of science and technology can solve resource constraints, the development of science and technology can not solve aging problems? Why are you afraid of an aging problem caused by "one birth"? B: According to your logic, you can also ask: "Since the creativity is infinite, can people save it?" This actually turned an argument. Because "creative unlimited" refers to "Tianzuo, I'm still trail", if you know that the population structure is deteriorating, you must continue to implement "one fetalization", this is "self-made, not sauction"! If you recognize resource constraints Solve by technology, then why do you want to implement "one fetter"? The development of science and technology solves resource constraints is definitely more easier than solving aging problems.
In this case, why you would rather cause a difficult problem in order to avoid a problem with an easy solution? A: But no matter what to say, some population is less than the population more likely to solve the resource problem? B: In the same situation in other conditions, the more people, the faster the technological progress is. Why is scientific and technological progress in the past for a few thousand years in the past two hundred years? An important reason is the rapid growth of the world population in the past two hundred years. Can you definitely implement a population of family planning reduction? Although the increase in population size increases the consumption of natural resources, it also increases human wisdom. The probability of appearance of people's outstanding people has also increased, which can promote the progress of human wisdom, and then promote the development of human civilization. From this point, the population is more easier to solve resource problems. A: Even if resource constraints can be solved by technological progress, the employment problem is difficult to solve. Now there are so many people who are unemployed, don't you just explain too much population? Therefore, family planning must be implemented to reduce the population. B: Unemployment issues and the number of population are not necessarily related. If there is no such unemployment because there are too many population, the Japanese population is more than Australia, and the area of Australia is twenty times in Japan, but Japan's unemployment rate is better than Australia? Another example is that Russia is a country with a broad man, on the one hand, the labor shortage, and there is a large number of unemployed populations. This is a problem of structural unemployment. A: But now China's reality is: there is a lot of unemployment population. Therefore, if you relax your family planning, there will be more people's birth, which will make the current unemployment more serious. B: Are you worried that the baby is now grab your work? The baby can be a labor force that the baby is not born. At least ten years, it will work for 20 years. Nowadays, there are many babies, at least the development of dairy, medical, textile, clothing, shoes, hats, toys, home policies, early childhood education, amusement, etc. related to this. For the Chinese population, the first half of the 21st century can be divided into two phases: the previous 20 years of employment pressure is large, and the pension is heavy. Therefore, now stopping the family planning is two days: can ease the previous 20 years of employment pressure, and can alleviate the burden of pension after 30 years. Related links: He Yafu: Dialogue on population and family planning (Simplified Edition) http://bbs.people.com.cn/bbs/readfile?whichfile=822078&typeid=17 易 富 贤: People-oriented, use the scientific development concept to view the population Question http://guancha.gmw.cn/show.aspx?id=484 **************************************** ********* Mondlango is referred to as the ULANGO, is an international assistant.
Reply relationship:
Dialogue on population and family planning --- Can resource constraints and employment problems become a reasons for family planning? (He Yalfu: 2005-01-12 19:57:31) 4082 BYTES (0/254/32)
I am two !! Why don't you send it ~~! (Pluto: 2005-01-13 11:07:04) 528 Bytes (0/26/4)
I will answer you first (Zhumu: 2005-01-13 11:34:08) 948 Bytes (0/25/3)
Low bum is not you like this ~~ "The probability of an increase in the size of the population"? Haha ~~ Who knows the probability to explain it ~ (Pluto: 2005-01-13 14:19:28) 0 Bytes (0/11/2)
You are pure pure is nothing to look for, I'm really bother (Zhumu: 2005-01-13 16:12:06) 0 Bytes (0/11/1)
~ No wonder that strong country is also good! I don't know ~~ (Pluto: 2005-01-13 17:18:41) 0 Bytes (0/10/0)
Only two of you ~~ too weak ~~ Actually Jiaxing ~~~~ (Pluto: 2005-01-13 10:32:41) 543 Bytes (0/26/4) Science's unstoppable progress is "In the virtual and blindness", you have to calm, it is possible to form a real collision confrontation. (Lianyun: 2005-01-13 12:06:40) 0 Bytes (0/15/1)
Your independence ~~ I can't calm down ~~ I am here to meet the unknown person, embarrassing ~~ Please see ~ (Pluto: 2005-01-13 14:54:47) 721 Bytes (0 / 16/0)
Your old brother is too big, too hard to talk. Can you tell me how you n't read a book? Some of the messy things in the book is! (Xiao knows: 2005-01-13 11:56:23) 0 Bytes (0/14/1)
The reality is too cruel, it is too big to fight, there is a bad book, but the "probability theory" of Zhejiang University can really save people ~ (Pluto: 2005-01-13 15:01:30) 48 Bytes (0) / 12/0)
In order to save resources, the city should be restricted to buy a car, not to limit people in the city to only have a child! (Tome Sound: 2005-01-13 10:10:00) 0 Bytes (0/17/1)
Good suggestion! (Persist in hard struggle, close contact with the masses: 2005-01-13 11:38:09) 0 Bytes (0/11/0)
Good article!!! This is what is said with a head. (Plow: 2005-01-13 09:52:31) 0 Bytes (0/14/0)
Opposition, opposition.歪 理 邪 邪. (Baiyun Huanghe: 2005-01-12 21:54:02) 0 bytes (0/115/4)
Where is it? Where is the evil? Give everyone pointed out, others can't see it (Zhou Mu: 2005-01-13 10:55:49) 0 Bytes (0/13/0)
Welcome to make specific objectives, otherwise you use what is the use of slogans? (He Yafu: 2005-01-12 22:21:35) 0 bytes (0/34/2)
~~ I will refute you ~~ The real gas, you look inside the body. (Pluto: 2005-01-13 10:35:51) 526 Bytes (0/21/1)
You understand that it is the meaning of Wang Wensheng, within a certain period of time, there is a large genius, not the so-called "the ratio of talents and population", please raise value (Lianyun: 2005-01-13 12:11:22) 4 Bytes (0/15/0)
What is the use of people? 300 million countries cannot be the strongest country? (Really anxious: 2005-01-12 21:18:10) 0 Bytes (0/120/9)
~~ Boss ~~ I have served ~~ I am now opposed to learning English, advocating learning English to learn English! ! I cried ~ (Pluto: 2005-01-13 14:47:47) 578 Bytes (0/11/0)
If China is now only 300 million people, China's economy will inevitably shrink to only 3/13. (He Yalfu: 2005-01-12 21:32:15) 617 Bytes (0/123/6)
Direct answer: less than 300 million USD, why can you be the strongest? (Really urgent: 2005-01-12 23:28:37) 0 Bytes (0/35/3)
The annual huge trade surplus of the United States indicates that the United States is hard to get the current rich and strong. (Adhere to hard struggles, close contact with the masses: 2005-01-13 11:21:27) 0 bytes (0/17 / 0)
The population scale has a role in promoting the economy, but other reasons are also very important (Zhumu: 2005-01-13 10:50:00) 80 Bytes (0/17/0)
If there is only 3 million people in the United States, the United States only has become another Canada. (He Yafu: 2005-01-13 10:16:21) 514 Bytes (0/17/0)
The number of population is equal to the economy, is you calling with that? (Baiyun Yellow Crane: 2005-01-12 22:12:40) 0 bytes (0/31/1) Population Quantity and Economic Development There is direct contact (Zhumu: 2005-01-13 10:52: 48) 0 Bytes (0/15/0)
People are more likely to achieve rich and strong, of course, refers to the national nation. But there must be the right leadership, the leadership of suicide: the population is less! Such as Russia. (Lianyun: 2005-01-12 21:26:33) 0 Bytes (0/108/0)
Very good! We are here to clarify, organize, organize, form a complete logic. (Lianyun: 2005-01-12 20:33:01) 0 Bytes (0/122/1)
Lianyun, your root is here: first conclusions, then find evidence, and find that you also feel logically "incomplete" (Changjiang Ye: 2005-01-13 13:10:27) 30 BYtes (0 / 14/0)
stand by! ! ! (Zhumang: 2005-01-12 20:31:13) 0 Bytes (0/109/0)
It is very reasonable (舣 舣: 2005-01-12 20:18:46) 0 Bytes (0/115/0)
