Text / Party Country Britain reported that the famous economics professor Li Yining recently talked about the idea of China's rural development: Most farmers turned into middlemen. I thought this is a good idea. I don't know how to discuss this development goal, the media reports are unknown. I would like to take a look at the words of Professor Li Ying. First, what is "Medium Product" requires a definition. Medium-owned people can be defined from three basic aspects, respectively, with leisurely enjoyment and social rights protection. According to the current price level, middlemen should at least have a year of income of 50,000 yuan / household, and the low income level of Peking University is similar. Niger production per year should be around 120 days; the worker who is tired of work is not a middleman every year. Middle-owners should also enjoy the same social rights guaranteed as other members, and should have considerable influence in social public affairs. The farmers "becomes" take a time according to the middle of the above. How long is the time? Need to have an estimate. If time is long enough, all Chinese farmers may become middlemen, this is best not to doubt. But if it is limited to 10 years to 20 years, "most farmers" become middlemen, I am afraid it will be very difficult. According to rough computing, farmers, Chinese farmers, especially food planting industry, each household needs to cultivate 50 acres of land, and also do other work while engaging in family operations, it may reach 50,000 yuan in annual income. If 50 acres of food is planted, considering the possibility of government subsidies, annual income is expected to reach 15,000 yuan, plus family business revenue and other industrial income, and annual income of 50,000 yuan is possible. Such families may have a well-quality home, or have a motor vehicle and several agricultural machinery. Such farmers can be "honest", which is better than the current living standards of urban residents. Of course, this level of living is far from compared to the level of developed countries. However, even such a "middle production" standard is not easy. To achieve food planting farmers have reached 50 acres of land, a large number of rural labor is required to transfer to the city. According to the information of the National Bureau of Statistics, the speed of rural population in my country has been reduced by approximately 1.6% in recent years. According to this speed, farmers in grain planting must reach 50 acres of land, and time is around 40 years. If it is optimistic, the rural population is reduced to add two percentage points, and it is necessary to reach 50 acres of land in 25 years. This also guarantees that the cultivated land is not reduced. Because the households here are average, this means that there is still a lot of farmers who cannot have such a business scale, that is, they still don't reach the living standards of the middleman. Further, a large number of farmers who enter the city are not necessarily sold to farmers who stay in rural areas. They may rent land to a farmer, which will make farmers' income to make a lot of discounts. In summary, there are impossible for most farmers to become the development goals such as middlemen. It is impossible to implement in the short term. The other two "middle-ager" targets are not easy. In the case of more widely used agricultural machinery, 50 acres of land may be able to complete cultivation in 50 working days, and then take other jobs near 200 working days, and remaining 120 days is possible. Therefore, under certain economic conditions, the second standard of the middleman is possible. However, this requires our labor relations to improve, otherwise farmers may have to accept longer labor time under pressure, or the farmers are unwilling to do business, and they are in a semi-unemployed state. At this time, the quality of the peasants will decrease, and they are not completely welfare. The social rights improvement of farmers is also a long process. Ensuring that farmers' social rights are not enough to rely on legislation. The implementation of legal rights requires a carrier, which is an organizational system and a group of professionals.
