The market is hesitant to produce, and die in the cheers!
In the 16th, IM, the euro yen continued to break through the dollar, and the euro saw 1.307, and the yen saw 103.6, which could not help me think of the sad April. History is always amazing, current exchange rate, how similar is the time, clearly remember that the exchange rate at the time is the euro 1.29 line, the yen 103 line. The only difference is the pound, and I almost see 1.9, now only 1.85. This is because the UK's real estate is substantial, and the interest rate is not expected during the year.
In April that mistake, I chose to chase the cross-disk operation. 205, 206 Buy the pound to the yen, 85 bought the Australian dollar to the Yen. It is this decision that let himself fall into the loss trap in half a year, and can not be fully explained so far. So, how should I choose when this historical reproduction?
In front of an experience, in theory, it is theoretically, the trend of foreign exchange in the next 2nd, the conclusion is that the dollar will return to the strong, and re-go back to the rise trajectory. So should I abandon my theory with the market in these days? ? Everyone is now calling the yen to go to 100 lines, and there is a 90 line in the year. Experience tells me that this is impossible. From these years, our foreign exchange feelings, the yen is never so big, except for last year's black in September, this year's black in April, the dollar has risen to the yen, and the trend is relatively smooth. Because the dollar and the yen are not the opponent currency, when the dollar is covered with the euro and the pound, the dollar is still relatively stable. Within 1 month, it is unrealistic from 104 to 100. If you count the factors of the Japanese government intervention, it is harder to talk.
In addition, the dollar is currently falling on the way, or the bottom of the fall, the opinions are different. I feel that the dollar is the bottom. One reason is that the US economy is strong, the exchange rate is not always deviating from the fundamentals. One reason is that the double child deficit has been shouted for more than a year, and it is digested by the market. Another reason is that the crude oil speculation fund has been profitable, and it will be available to the dollar. In addition, from the foreign exchange company, it is seen that the euro's payment is piled up in the market. This is similar to how similar April! As long as there is a small guideline to trigger the euro selling, the next is the throw of the landslide tsunami.
The most recent operation is:
A few days ago, the euro is single in the euro / yen 138.2, and 136.4 profit 180 points. This time, it is the most successful judgment this year. However, the quantity is too small, only one order, because the loss is serious, do not make gamblers.
The day before and yesterday did a lot of dollars / yen at 104-105 lines, and there were fewer quantities. Currently due to the US dollar from 103.6 to 104.3 line, it is only a trace loss. But ready to continue to hold these payments. The Japanese Central Bank is very good, you think it will never shoot when it is intervened, it will give you a knife when you don't know. Countless people's painful experiences confirmed this. Therefore, two profit orders were hung, respectively, from 106 and 107, as long as the central bank shot, and believed it must be seen.
Stick, stick to!
