China's political economic pattern is brewing a change, and as a software industry in high-tech industries will become a member of this change. Here I don't want to look forward to the change of the political economy, just talk about the future of the software industry.
The current software industry is generally two wrong ideas: the first point of view believes that we should cultivate software blue-collars, learn from India, rely on outsourcing and export; the second point of view, we lack your own core technology, you should pay attention Bottom technology, strive to do research development, make your own PC, or even operating system, etc. The first point of view is negative, and those who hold this view is a nearing eye and red eye disease. They saw that Bill Gates made a fortune yesterday, and they want to vigorously develop the software industry. It has found that money is not so good; today, I see Indians and us, but they have become the world's second largest software developed countries, so another bee. Going to the "inspection", come back, advocate the outer bag, and the software is good. As everyone knows, any country has its own internal and external environment, the US hardware industry is very developed, naturally able to drive system software developers like Microsoft; Indians are very good, while the Silicon Valley has a large number of people, naturally develop outsourcing. I will imitate anyone who is good, and the result can only be East to do, but it is a laughter. The second point of view is that people who hold this view is a technically Sandyism. They programmed under the Win32 platform, which is restricted by Win32API, so far to the driver, not restricted by Win32API, and discovered that the next layer of API is restricted ... so ended a conclusion, I only have to develop a PC and an operating system, so I want to start. As everyone knows, what they do is, but it is the same wheel, and is the most backward wheel. In the market competition environment, this point of view is at all, although it sounds strict words, people are exciting, but they will do not pass.
Confucianism is concerned, emphasizing in the face of reality with an objective attitude. my country is not suitable for outsourcing, nor is it suitable for system software. As for General Software, uncle's aunts who sell the codes will tell you what is inevitable. So what is the way? Let us first look at the development direction of the world software industry. I think that the world software industry is mainly developed in three directions, and they are: hardware systems, corporate informationization and industry software. The hardware system, its representative is Win-Tel union and Linux alliance. In the 21st century, we have found that many super hardware vendors have become more and more "soft". Intel has done the compiler, IBM strength Linux; in turn is more and more "hard", the most representative It is Microsoft again to get a top box, but also to engage in mobile phone mobile platform, busy. On the one hand, hardware development vendors hopes to increase their competitiveness in their products, on the other hand, software companies want to combine with hardware to seek more profits for themselves. Thus, the hardware system will will become an important direction for the development of the future software industry. Enterprise informationization, its representative is a large enterprise information application software, such as ERP, CRS, MIS, network equipment, finance software, etc. Representing companies such as SAP, domestic user, gold disc, Huawei, etc. Another form of performance in this and the industry is an outsourcing. Because of the large size of the company software, many large companies reduce the development cost by outsourcing some modules to other companies, India is doing outsourced top seeds. The risk of enterprise information software is mainly due to the implementation and service of informationization, such as ERP implementation, build network environments. Due to corporate informationization, especially services and philosophy, it is expensive, which will be foreseen that this will also be an important development direction of the software industry. Industry software, representatives such as AOTOCAD, PKPM, 3DSMAX, etc. These software combine specific industry knowledge, such as PKPM combine structural mechanics and finite element calculations, 3DSMAX combines 3D graphics expertise, they are specific The field has strong competitiveness, and the industry often rely on these software. I can imagine that if today's architects put down AOTOCAD, use drawing pen to do design, how will it be a terrible scene. In addition, single-chip, embedded development, and automation equipment are another form of performance of industry software, and unconfilled equipment, by embedding intelligent procedures, it tends to become 100 times. As the computer further penetrates into various industries, industry software based on industry knowledge will inevitably become an important development direction of the software industry.
So, in these three directions, which one is the most promising? It is definitely not a hardware system. Our self-developed dragon core mainfast is in less than one-tenth of Intel's four-processor. Our technical management capabilities cannot support the development of large operating systems. It can be said that in this respect, we do not have any advantages, take hard, The path of the system, the result must be failed. Enterprise information is a direction, but it is not suitable. Today we already have large enterprise information service providers such as Dongping, UF, and Gold Disc, can say that their efforts are fruitful. However, it should also be seen that this direction is already the case of "the case of vicious competition is also uncommon. As for the outsourcing, it is not the opponent of India, because the low return of this industry is not suitable for further investment. It can be seen that the industry software is best for development in our country. After joining the WTO, we put forward the slogan "World Manufacturing Center", which is also a general trend, reluctance, doubt, and historical floods are unstoppable. World Manufacturing Center, it is not a world processing center, we need to use advanced technology to armed itself, so that our products are more competitive, otherwise it will become the vassal of others. At this time, countless industries will call themselves. Industry software can be divided into two aspects: embedded development and industry auxiliary software. Industry auxiliary software can be pure software such as 3dsmax, or software like AOTOCAD is equipped with professional equipment. Embedded development can be further subdivided, including three aspects of single chip, special equipment and automation equipment. The typical type of single-chip development is the development of mobile phone. Today's domestic mobile phones have been greatly improved; special equipment is mainly used in special fields such as military, aviation, and companies are difficult to intervene; and automation equipment is the most important direction of industry software development. . For example: a part of the domestic textile enterprises in the 1990s imported a German apparatus, called a shuttle machine, commonly known as "electronic embroidery machine", the principle of this equipment is to join computer aided design based on ordinary embroidery machine And the device automatically completes two functions, users complete the pattern design on the computer, the device automatically embroishes the pattern, and its embroidery product is unlikely to meet. The import price of the shuttle plane was about $ 800,000. Later, after careful research, the domestic equipment manufacturers also developed similar products. The cost is only 300,000 yuan, and later the imported shuttle has been significantly reduced, and it is strong to make Competition of the shuttle machine. It can be seen that by combining the industry technology, the software and automation equipment suitable for specific industries is developed independently, and its profits will be huge, and they can have their own core technology, which is not restricted by external power. This direction is in soon. In the future, it will become the largest profit point and the main development direction of the China software industry.
In general, the software industry is a technology industry. It is due to the characteristics of this industry. We can't seek long-term development from places outside the technology. Whether it is developing outsourcing or emphasizing services, they need support for core technology and market development. The development direction of the Chinese software industry in the future is inevitably combined with the industry, and research and development belongs to its own core technology. The specific direction is auxiliary software that belongs to the manufacturing industry and the development of automation equipment. The political, economic and social pattern changes will also be able to promote the development of the Chinese software industry to this direction. Return technology is the most suitable direction for the development of China's software industry, and the future of national software will definitely be bright.
